March 2023 options now available for Texas Instruments (TXN)
Investors at Texas Instruments Inc. (Symbol: TXN) saw new options begin trading today, for March 2023 expiry. One of the key data points that go into the price a buyer option is willing to pay is the time value, so with 79 days to expiration, new trade contracts represent a potential opportunity for put or call option writers to earn a higher premium than would be available for contracts that are closer to expiry. At Stock Options Channel, our YieldBoost formula scoured the TXN options channel for new contracts in March 2023 and identified one particularly attractive put contract and one call contract.
The put contract at the strike price of $160.00 has a current bid of $8.15. If an investor were to sell to open this put contract, they agree to buy the stock at $160.00, but will also collect the premium, placing the cost base of the stock at $151.85 (before brokerage commissions ). For an investor already interested in buying shares of TXN, this could represent an attractive alternative to paying $162.57/share today.
Since the strike price of $160.00 represents a discount of approximately 2% from the current stock price (in other words, it is out of play by that percentage), it is also possible that the contract of sale expires worthless. Current analytical data (including Greeks and implied Greeks) suggests that the current chance of this happening is 99%. Stock Options Channel will track these odds over time to see how they change, by posting a table of these numbers on our website under the contract detail page for that contract. If the contract expires worthless, the premium would represent a return of 5.09% on the cash commitment, or 23.55% annualized – at Stock Options Channel, we call this the Yield increase.
Below is a chart showing Texas Instruments Inc.’s past 12-month trading history, and highlighting in green where the $160.00 strike falls in relation to that history:
On the call side of the options chain, the call contract at the strike price of $165.00 has a current bid of $8.55. If an investor were to buy TXN stock at the current price level of $162.57/share and then sell to open this call contract as a “covered call”, they are committing to selling the stock at 165 $.00. Assuming that the call seller will also collect the premium, this would result in a total return (excluding dividends, if any) of 6.75% if the stock is called at the March 2023 expiry (before brokerage commissions). Of course, a lot of upside could potentially be left on the table if TXN stock really does soar, which is why it becomes important to look at Texas Instruments Inc.’s past 12-month trading history, as well as study the fundamentals of business. Below is a chart showing TXN’s trading history over the last twelve months, with the $165.00 strike highlighted in red:
Considering that the strike price of $165.00 represents a premium of approximately 1% to the current stock price (in other words, it is out of the price by that percentage), it It is also possible for the covered call contract to expire worthless, in which case the investor would keep both his shares and the premium collected. Current analytical data (including Greeks and implied Greeks) suggests that the current chance of this happening is 99%. On our website, under the contract detail page for that contract, the Stock Options Channel will track those odds over time to see how they change and publish a table of those numbers (the option contract’s trading history will be also plotted). If the covered call expires worthless, the premium would represent a 5.26% increase in incremental return to the investor, or 24.31% annualized, what we call the Yield increase.
Meanwhile, we calculate the actual volatility of the last twelve months (taking into account the closing values of the last 252 trading days as well as the current price of $162.57) at 32%. For more put and call options contract ideas worth considering, visit StockOptionsChannel.com.
• Average annual return CGW
• UIS Stock Predictions
• Chain of SGU options
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.