“No actual weather forecast,” the Met Office charts said. “Examples of plausible weather patterns based on climate projections.”
Well, on Monday and Tuesday, the “plausible” becomes reality – 28 years earlier.
Simon Lee, an atmospheric scientist at Columbia University in New York, noted the striking similarity between the outlook for 2050 and the forecast for the start of next week in the UK.
In 30 years, this forecast will seem rather typical.
To be clear, it really would be record heat. The country’s hottest temperature ever measured was 38.7 degrees Celsius at the Cambridge Botanic Garden in 2019.
The likelihood of exceeding 40 degrees is “increasing rapidly,” Christidis said.
It’s more than a few uncomfortable days. Extreme heat is one of the deadliest weather events – we just don’t tend to see it happening in the moment, when heatstroke and death are attributed to underlying conditions such as heart disease or respiratory disease.
Unlike floods or wildfires that destroy a city, the sense of urgency around a deadly heat wave isn’t so dramatic, said Kristie Ebi, a climate and health researcher at the University of Washington, pointing out that the heat is a “silent killer”.
“When it’s hot outside, it’s just hot outside – and so it’s a relatively quiet killer,” Ebi previously told CNN. “People are generally unaware and don’t think about the risks associated with these high temperatures.”
She also said it’s important to understand that the climate is not like it was just a few years ago. The climate crisis is already affecting our lives today, and it will continue to hit the most vulnerable.
“We’re all looking forward to summer as we enjoy warmer temperatures, but there are people who are at risk in higher temperatures,” she said. “As the climate continues to change or temperatures rise more than we experienced when we were younger, people need to pay more attention, especially to those around you.”
CNN’s Rachel Ramirez contributed to this analysis.