what consequences for the executive after the use of 49-3?
Arthur de Laborde
Two days after the use of 49-3 before the Assembly, as part of the pension reform, the executive is swimming in complete uncertainty. Everyone is wondering what the consequences of this forced passage will be in Parliament, but also in the street.
After the use of 49-3 of the pension reform bill around, what consequences for Emmanuel Macron and Élisabeth Borne? This is the question that hovers around the executive, currently in full uncertainty, even though several spontaneous demonstrations have taken place all over France, and that major days of mobilizations are planned in the coming days.
“I don’t know how to explain the 49-3 to the French,” says a majority executive, who explains that it is still too early to assess the political consequences of the forced passage. Another walker wonders about the president’s ability to regain control after this setback in the Assembly. “We’re going to have to be imaginative,” he says. For there are at least two immediate threats to the government.
The impact on the dreaded street
First, the transpartisan motion of censure tabled by the Centrists of the LIOT group. Here, however, the risk seems contained, analyzes a deputy walker, estimating that at this stage, the text is not able to provide enough votes to overthrow the government, even if the left wishes to convince certain Republican deputies to vote this motion of censure.
But for the moment, the most crucial question that agitates the president and his relatives is to know what impact will have the 49-3 in the street and on the determination of the opponents of the reform. A question that should quickly find answers, organized demonstrations being this Saturday everywhere in France, and a new day of mobilization being planned for Thursday, March 23rd.